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J.K. Lund's avatar

"Honestly a bunch of people probably will die in the beginning."

Musk’s frankness here is telling. The Apollo astronauts to the Moon thought they had a 1/10 chance of not coming back. By the standards of today, that is completely unacceptable.

And yet, the impulse to drive risk to zero is paralyzing. Risk is everything. It’s crossing the street, it’s getting on a plane, it’s applying for a new job…etc.

Without risk, nothing happens. If we want to have any hope of saving humanity from an inevitable extinction event here on Earth, humans will die in space. That is a certainty.

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